China proposes new international currency reserve

Lundi, mars 30th, 2009
Another indication  of  China’s growing concern about holding huge dollar reserves, is the  online  paper released on the bank’s website,  where  Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the People’s Bank of China,  its central bank, has called for the eventual creation of a new international currency reserve to replace the dollar.

A reserve currency is the denomination in which a government holds its reserves. Currently, close to 90% of the currency reserves worldwide are in US dollar and the euro.

The  online paper stated further  that a new currency reserve system controlled by the International Monetary Fund could prove more stable and economically viable.

While most financial  analysts do not believe that the dollar will be replaced as the world’s dominant foreign exchange reserve anytime soon, the proposal shows  China’s step towards a more influential role in the world.

China has nearly $2 trillion  in foreign exchange reserves, the world’s largest, and more than half of those holdings  are reported to be made up of United States Treasuries and other dollar-denominated bonds.

On March 13, China’s prime minister, Wen Jiabao, said he was concerned about the safety of those assets.

Then,  China’s bold idea on reserve currency,  released more than a week before a major meeting of leaders from the Group of 20 major economies in London which will focus on measures to alleviate the global economic crisis,  point to the fact that  Beijing is worried that its huge dollar-denominated foreign reserves could lose significant value in coming years.

The timing of the Chinese announcement, analysts said, could also be aimed at giving Beijing more leverage to negotiate with the United States and other nations in London on trade and on proposals about how to stabilize the global economy.

During the meeting, beginning on April 2, China is expected to call for developing economies to have a bigger say in global finance and step up pressure for changes to a system dominated by the US dollar and Western governments.

However, China is cautious when it discusses buying or selling Treasuries, for fear of sending a signal that could significantly affect currency markets. So in a separate announcement on Monday ( Mar 23), China said it would continue to buy Treasuries, something the United States has encouraged.

Going back to Mr. Zhou’s article, published in English and Chinese  he said the international community should consider expanding the International Monetary Fund’s Special Drawing Rights.

Such a proposal has been suggested before by developing countries but was not supported by the United States,  wary that it could be inflationary and affect the central role of the dollar.

Mr. Zhou said the goal of reforming the international monetary system was to “create an international reserve currency that is disconnected from individual nations and is able to remain stable in the long run.”

Source : Konaxis



Zhou: China To Maintain Yuan Stable At ‘Appropriate Level’

Lundi, février 16th, 2009
China’s central bank  Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said  in an interview on Tuesday (Feb 10) in Kuala Lumpur  that  China will keep its exchange rate stable at an appropriate level and that “ now is not a good time to answer” if there is another cut in interest rates.

“There is no new strategy on the exchange rate,” Zhou said. ”It is the same as before — the exchange rate will be determined by market supply and demand against a basket of currencies. It will be kept stable at an appropriate, balanced level.”

The statement was in reply to some politicians and commentators in the West  who said that  the « super-abundant savings from fast-growing emerging nations »  are responsible for the global economic imbalance and their suggestion that  the yuan be allowed to appreciate faster to cut China’s foreign exchange reserves.

Zhou Xiaochuan  added that China will not be able to reduce its savings rate quickly because of a number of complex factors.

« A number of complex factors account for the high savings rate of East Asian economies, including China, and changes in the exchange rate policy would not necessarily reduce it, » Zhou said at a forum in Kuala Lumpur.

« The exchange rate has something to do with the savings rate, but statistically speaking, their relationship is vague. We cannot adjust the savings rate simply by changing the exchange rate, » he said.

« People may think the exchange rate and interest rate are deciding the relationship between savings and consumption, but in reality things are much more complicated, » Zhou said.

Zhou said that people in East Asia tend to save more due to various factors like special traditions, cultural differences, family structure and demographic features of East Asian economies.

Many East Asian countries have a savings rate of about 40 percent against their GDP while that in the US and UK is less than 20 percent.

The history of the countries that suffered from the 1997 Asian financial crisis has also prompted them to pile up foreign exchange reserves as a tool to prevent reoccurrence of the financial crises, Zhou said.

Zhou  pointed out that although China has made relentless efforts to cut its savings rate, further  interest reduction will not work in the short term because it is the result of deep-rooted social and cultural factors, he added.

Instead, Zhou called for reforming the international currency regime in the long term, making it more diversified and less dependent on the US dollar.

Source : Konaxis